Make India a US dollar 5 trillion economy
Bharatiya Janata Party · Lok Sabha General Election 2024
Last updated 8 Jul 2026
What does this status mean?
Implementation is progressing towards the commitment.
Status describes delivery. Confidence describes how strong the available evidence is.
Original manifesto wording
“Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India shall become a $5 trillion economy. Through structural reforms, increased FDI, expansion of manufacturing under Make in India, and accelerated digital transformation, India will cement its position as the world's third-largest economy.”
Our Assessment
The promise was to make India a US dollar 5 trillion economy and move toward becoming the world's third-largest economy. The target has not yet been achieved: MoSPI's provisional estimates put nominal GDP at Rs 346.36 lakh crore in FY 2025-26, which is still below US dollar 5 trillion at prevailing exchange rates. However, official data shows continued high nominal and real GDP growth, with FY 2025-26 nominal GDP growth estimated at 8.9 percent and real GDP growth at 7.7 percent. PIB's growth note states that India is projected to reach US dollar 5 trillion by 2027 and move toward becoming the third-largest economy. Since the quantified target is not yet delivered but official indicators show a credible trajectory within the term, the verdict is on track rather than fulfilled or pending. Budget: not applicable as a direct expenditure promise; no separate budget allocation is required for this macroeconomic outcome.
Sources & Evidence
India's GDP growth trajectory: Pathway to $5 trillion
When will India become a $5 trillion economy? An analysis
India GDP surge and projected US dollar 5 trillion economy by 2027
Provisional estimates of annual GDP for FY 2025-26
Promise Timeline
MoSPI provisional estimates placed FY 2025-26 nominal GDP at Rs 346.36 lakh crore with 8.9 percent nominal growth and 7.7 percent real GDP growth.
View sourcePIB stated that India is projected to reach US dollar 5 trillion GDP by 2027 and move toward becoming the world's third-largest economy.
View sourceRBI maintains growth outlook; Finance Ministry officials express confidence in $5 trillion target by 2027.
View sourceIMF World Economic Outlook estimates India GDP at $3.89 trillion for 2024; revises 2025 growth forecast to 6.5%.
View sourceEconomic Survey 2023-24 projects India reaching $5 trillion by FY2027-28 under optimistic scenario.
View sourceRelated Promises

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