Partially Donehigh confidenceEconomy

Double Goa's annual tourist arrivals within five years

Bharatiya Janata Party · Goa Legislative Assembly Election 2022

Last updated 4 Oct 2026

What does this status mean?

Meaningful delivery has occurred, but the stated commitment is incomplete.

Status describes delivery. Confidence describes how strong the available evidence is.

Original manifesto wording

“We shall double the number of annual tourist arrivals in the state in the next five years by harnessing the potential for inland tourism, medical tourism and promoting heritage and spiritual tourism, while augmenting the cur-rent infrastructure around adventure sports and beach tourism.”

From the Bharatiya Janata Party manifestoView Manifesto

Our Assessment

Goa has recorded substantial growth in tourist arrivals since the 2022 election, but the manifesto's numerical target of doubling annual arrivals has not yet been achieved. Using calendar year 2022 as the consistent first full post-election baseline, Goa recorded 71,87,950 tourist arrivals. Doubling this figure requires at least 1,43,75,900 annual arrivals. Official Goa Tourism data records 1,08,02,410 tourist arrivals in 2025, comprising 1,02,84,608 domestic and 5,17,802 foreign visitors. This is approximately 50.3% higher than the 2022 baseline and represents about 75% of the doubled target. The government has continued implementing measures intended to increase arrivals and diversify tourism. In February 2026, Goa notified the Inbound Tour Operators Incentive Scheme, providing performance-linked incentives for international charter flights from existing and new markets. Goa Budget 2026-27 provided ₹2 crore for the scheme, and international charter operations for the 2026-27 season subsequently began with connectivity involving markets including Russia, Poland, Kazakhstan and the United Kingdom. These measures demonstrate continued implementation toward increasing tourist arrivals, but the manifesto contains a fixed numerical completion threshold. Until annual arrivals reach approximately 1.44 crore within the promised five-year period, the commitment remains only partially delivered.

The reasoning behind the verdict

Why this assessment?

Reviewed

01 · Delivery status

Why partially done?

Goa recorded 1,08,02,410 tourist arrivals in 2025, up about 50.3% from the assessment's 2022 baseline of 71,87,950. This remains below the doubling threshold of 1,43,75,900 annual arrivals, so substantial growth is verified but the numerical commitment is not yet fulfilled.

This assessment uses calendar year 2022 as its baseline, and the five-year term is still active. Charter-flight incentives show continued implementation; budget allocations and flight announcements do not themselves establish that annual arrivals have doubled.

02 · Strength of evidence

Why high confidence?

The 2022 baseline is documented in a Goa Legislative Assembly answer, and the 2025 total and domestic/foreign breakdown are published by the Tourism Department. These primary records support a high-confidence comparison against the stated baseline. Confidence concerns the evidence, rather than completion of the target.

What would help us reassess?

The documents that could clarify delivery of this commitment.

  • Official full-calendar-year 2026 domestic and foreign tourist-arrival totals, using a comparable counting method
  • Official confirmation that annual arrivals reach at least 1,43,75,900 within the promised five-year period
  • Any official clarification of the baseline intended by the 2022 manifesto’s doubling commitment

Status describes delivery. Confidence describes the evidence.

Read our methodology ↗
Annual Tourist Arrived75%
1.08Crorecurrent1.438Croretarget

Promise Timeline

4 Oct 2026

The 2026-27 international charter season began with a charter from Yekaterinburg. On 4 October, the Tourism Minister said the ₹2 crore charter incentive programme was being used to strengthen international connectivity, with charter operations expected from Russia, Poland, Kazakhstan and the UK

View source
6 Mar 2026

Goa Budget 2026-27 provided ₹2 crore for the Inbound Tour Operator Incentive Scheme 2026, specifically to strengthen international tourism and charter-flight operations. The Tourism Department received an overall provision of ₹385 crore.

View source
5 Feb 2026

Goa formally notified the Inbound Tour Operators Incentive Scheme, 2026. The performance-linked scheme provides incentives for international charter flights from existing and new markets, including monsoon operations, with assistance tied to actual passenger numbers, minimum 70% passenger load factor and minimum seven-day stays. The scheme explicitly aims to increase international tourist traffic and expand source markets

View source
31 Dec 2025

Goa recorded approximately 108.02 lakh tourist arrivals during calendar year 2025, around 50.3 percent above the 2022 baseline.

View source
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Double Goa's annual tourist arrivals… — Status | ManifestoWatch