On Trackhigh confidenceDefence

Expand domestic defence manufacturing and exports

Bharatiya Janata Party · Lok Sabha General Election 2024

Last updated 25 Oct 2026

What does this status mean?

Implementation is progressing towards the commitment.

Status describes delivery. Confidence describes how strong the available evidence is.

Original manifesto wording

“We will vastly expand domestic defence manufacturing and exports of Made in Bharat defence equipment. This effort will be facilitated by accelerating indigenisation in major Air and Land Equipment Platforms.”

From the Bharatiya Janata Party manifestoView Manifestop.42

Our Assessment

India’s defence production reached ₹1.78 lakh crore and exports ₹38,424 crore in FY2025–26, both above their 2023–24 levels. Post-election indigenisation measures continued, and HAL reported delivery of 63 AL-31FP engines against a 2024 Su-30MKI order. The October 2026 ₹770-crore Army radar contract adds a procurement step, but radar delivery and platform-level indigenous content remain unverified. With measurable growth and no manifesto endpoint, the promise is On Track.

The reasoning behind the verdict

Why this assessment?

Reviewed

01 · Delivery status

Why on track?

The promise is directional and has no numerical completion target. Official production and export data show measurable growth after the 2024 election. Positive Indigenisation Lists cover air and land equipment; HAL has delivered 63 AL-31FP engines against the 2024 Su-30MKI order. An October 2026 Army radar contract shows further procurement, though contracted radars are not yet verified as delivered. This is substantive continuing implementation, consistent with On Track.

Annual aggregates include established programmes and, for FY2024–25, months before the election. The 2,000th HAL Koraput engine is a cumulative milestone over decades, not 2,000 post-election deliveries. Procurement contracts and indigenisation lists do not establish delivered equipment or full indigenous content.

02 · Strength of evidence

Why high confidence?

High confidence rests on Ministry of Defence annual production and export figures, official indigenisation-list notices, and specific ministry records for HAL engine deliveries and the BEL radar contract. The evidence strongly establishes continuing progress; platform-level indigenous-content and contract-delivery data are still limited.

What would help us reassess?

The documents that could clarify delivery of this commitment.

  • Platform-wise indigenous-content trends for Su-30MKI, LCA, T-72, T-90 and BMP-II, including domestic value added
  • Actual deliveries under the October 2026 Army radar contract and other Indian-IDDM awards
  • Product-level defence exports and the value of imports displaced since the 2024 election
  • Verified output from HAL’s planned AL-31FP capacity expansion and second Shakti engine line

Status describes delivery. Confidence describes the evidence.

Read our methodology ↗

Promise Timeline

26 Oct 2026

The Defence Acquisition Council gave Acceptance of Necessity to proposals worth about ₹2.12 lakh crore; about 82% is planned from Indian industry. This is in-principle approval, not contracts or deliveries.

View source
24 Oct 2026

DRDO began Setting to Work Phase-2 for an indigenous submarine AIP energy module at L&T Hazira. Navy testing and Kalvari-class integration are still pending.

View source
21 Oct 2026

MoD signed an approximately ₹770-crore contract with Bharat Electronics for improved low-level lightweight radars for the Army. The signed contract supports domestic manufacturing, but radar production and delivery are not yet verified.

View source
16 Oct 2026

L&T-built INS Samarthak, with over 75% indigenous content, was commissioned into the Navy at Karwar. This is naval delivery, not evidence of exports or air and land platform indigenisation.

View source
7 Oct 2026

MoD approved simplified procedures for Indian industry use of proof ranges, firing ranges and laboratory test facilities. Testing charges were waived for specified iDEX, TDF, Make and other ministry developmental projects. This reduces procedural barriers; resulting additional production has not yet been measured.

View source
6 Oct 2026

MoD reported that HAL had delivered 63 AL-31FP engines against a 2024 order for 240 Su-30MKI engines, exceeding its second-year target of 60. It announced investment to raise annual AL-31FP capacity from 30 to 50 engines and plan a second Shakti line; the added capacity is not yet operational.

View source
28 Aug 2026

DDP simplified the Defence Export SOP and unified the Open General Export Licence framework, extending OGEL validity from two to three years and easing repeated authorisation requirements while retaining safeguards for sensitive destinations and items.

View source
18 Aug 2026

DDP notified 405 items with estimated business potential of ₹3,070 crore, including components for ALH, LUH, Su-30MKI, LCA, T-72, T-90 and BMP-II. Items have indicative development timelines and are to be sourced domestically after successful indigenisation; the list does not establish full-platform indigenous content.

View source
17 Jun 2026

MoD reported annual defence production of ₹1.78 lakh crore in FY2025–26, up 15.6% against the later FY2024–25 baseline of ₹1.54 lakh crore. Private-sector output was about ₹42,000 crore, or 24% of the total. Production value is an outcome, not a budget allocation.

View source
2 Apr 2026

Defence exports reached ₹38,424 crore in FY2025–26, up 62.66% from ₹23,622 crore. DPSUs contributed 54.84% and private companies 45.16%, providing measured evidence of export expansion.

View source
1 Feb 2026

Union Budget FY2026–27 earmarked ₹1.39 lakh crore, or 75% of the capital-acquisition budget, for procurement through domestic defence industries. This supports manufacturing and indigenisation; it is an annual allocation, not actual spending exclusively against this manifesto promise.

View source
20 Nov 2025

PIB’s November 2025 overview reported FY2024–25 defence production of ₹1.54 lakh crore and exports of ₹23,622 crore. The production figure is higher than the initial August 2025 report of ₹1,50,590 crore; later government records also use the ₹1.54-lakh-crore baseline.

View source
9 Aug 2025

MoD initially reported FY2024–25 production of ₹1,50,590 crore, up about 18% from ₹1.27 lakh crore, with private manufacturers contributing about 23%. Later official records use ₹1.54 lakh crore for FY2024–25; the historical announcement is retained with that distinction.

View source
3 Jul 2025

The Defence Acquisition Council accorded Acceptance of Necessity for ten Indian-IDDM capital-acquisition proposals worth about ₹1.05 lakh crore, including recovery vehicles, electronic warfare, missiles and naval systems. This is an approval milestone, not confirmation of contracts or completed deliveries.

View source
1 Apr 2025

Defence exports reached ₹23,622 crore in FY2024–25, up 12.04% from ₹21,083 crore in FY2023–24. Private firms contributed ₹15,233 crore and DPSUs ₹8,389 crore. These are annual export outcomes, not budget figures.

View source
16 Jul 2024

MoD notified a fifth Positive Indigenisation List of 346 items with estimated import-substitution value of ₹1,048 crore. It also reported over 12,300 items indigenised in the preceding three years. That cumulative result includes pre-election work; notification is not proof that all new items are already indigenous.

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